Analyzing Andre Johnson’s 2012 Fantasy Value
Andre Johnson is being drafted in the mid to late 2nd round of fantasy football drafts, so Johnson could be a terrific late 2nd round steal if he’s still on the board at that point.
Let’s not forget that Johnson from 2008-2010 averaged 100 receptions with over 1,450 yards and 8 touchdowns per year over that recent three year span. With a healthy Matt Schaub returning from injury, there’s no reason to believe that Johnson won’t be targeted primarily and heavily as usual.
I know Johnson only played seven games in 2011, but Andre Johnson was only targeted ONCE within the five yard line last year. Let me repeat that. Andre Johnson was only targeted once within the five yard line.
The Texans understandably feed Arian Foster and even Ben Tate when in the red zone. Sure, Johnson will still score on big plays downfield, but when the Texans enter the red zone, Arian Foster is their go-to man.
It should also be taken into consideration that Johnson will be 31 years old in 2012 and has had his share of health issues over the years. He’s only played two full seasons in the last five years and only three full seasons in the last seven years. Johnson had his knee scoped this past May and missed OTAs and minicamp because of it. It’s definitely something that needs to be taken into consideration; it doesn’t matter what numbers he is capable of if he is not on the field or at 100%.
Verdict
Yes, Johnson’s health and his minimal presence in the red zone need to be taken into consideration; those issues warrant Johnson’s drop into the second round, for sure. However, as I stated above, if you’re sitting with a late second round pick and Andre Johnson is on the board, don’t hesitate. He is still very capable of approaching 1,500 yards and 100 receptions with a full, healthy season. At that point in the draft, it’s worth taking your chances on him playing a whole season when his upside is comprised of 1,500 yards and about 8-9 touchdowns.
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