We had a decent week last week, making solid start calls with Anquan Boldin and Jermichael Finley, as well as solid sit calls with Kyle Orton and T.J. Houshmandzadeh.
We missed the target on Tony Romo, Anquan Boldin, and Kevin Boss, but our picks this week should help you forget about one so-so week.
Start your Jaguars (no, not the car) if you have them this week, as well as any Packers as you normally would play them. Read on for Week 12‘s Start/Sit column:
Start
QB David Garrard, JAX @ SF
After watching Aaron Rodgers knife through the San Francisco secondary last week in the first half, we expect good things from Garrard. Rodgers would have had over 400 yards if the Packers hadn’t played so conservatively. While Garrard isn’t the traditional TD stud, he should post a couple on the board this week.
Projected stats: 20/28, 262 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 5 rushes, 23 yards
WR Mike Sims-Walker, JAX @ SF
Probably the surprise fantasy player of the year so far. Sims-Walker has been a favorite target for Garrard, especially on the deep ball. Sims-Walker could have his best day yet as a pro against the Niners.
Projected stats: 8 catches, 134 yards, 1 TD
RB Jason Snelling, ATL vs. TB
With Michael Turner more than likely out, Snelling will be the feature back in the Atlanta offense. The Falcons will pound the ball with the bigger back all day long.
Projected stats: 25 rushes, 121 yards, 2 TD, 2 catches, 10 yards
TE Greg Olsen, CHI @ MIN
If there is one position the Vikings have struggled with covering defensively this year, it has been the TE. Olsen is an athletic, big target (much like Jermichael Finley, who torched the Vikes in Week 4) and should receive a lot of looks from the struggling Jay Cutler.
Projected stats: 7 catches, 99 yards, 1 TD
Sit
QB Donovan McNabb, PHI vs. WSH
McNabb will have to carry the load as Brian Westbrook could be done for the year and potentially his career. McCoy is a nice filler at RB, but McNabb loses Westbrook’s pass catching ability and makes Philly even more one-dimensional. Besides, the ‘Skins defense isn’t shabby.
Projected stats: 19/32, 201 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
WR Vincent Jackson, SD vs. KC
Jackson has had 3 straight weeks with less than sixty yards, a theme that will only continue as LT once again becomes a bigger part of the offense. Jackson will be a weak WR2 or good WR3 play at best this week.
Projected stats: 4 catches, 52 yards, 0 TD
RB Ray Rice, BAL vs. PIT
With Polamalu still out, Harbaugh’s Ravens will lean a little more to the deeper pass than normal. Besides, Pittsburgh still has a strong front 7 that will shut down the run and screen passes.
Projected stats: 18 carries, 42 yards, 0 TD, 5 catches, 21 yards, 0 TD
TE: Jeremy Shockey, NO vs. NE
Shockey’s production has gone down in recent weeks (8 catches for 85 yards and 0 TD in 3 weeks) and that trend will continue against a solid New England defense. Brees looks for his RBs when he checks down and otherwise it’s usually a deeper throw to a wideout.
Projected stats: 3 catches, 31 yards, 0 TD
I like most of your picks, but I’m not sure I get the advice to sit McNabb. Philly was a pass-first team even before the Westbrook injury, and I think now all his playmakers are on the receiver side of the lineup (DeSean, Celek, etc.) It wouldn’t surprise me if McNabb were asked to throw it 45 times this week against the Redskins, whose defenders can be had via the air.
Happy Thanksgiving.
Paul
peoplespigskin.wordpress.com
Totally see your argument, but LeSean McCoy ran the ball 20 times last week, which showed us that the Eagles are dedicating themselves to running the ball more than in the past.
They learned the hard way against the Raiders and again against the Chargers that you can’t throw the ball 45 times every game and expect to win.
They need balance, and that’s what they’ll do again this week. The Redskins shut the Cowboys down through the air all game until the very end, so there’s reason to believe they can do the same against McNabb and co.
Thanks for the read and comment and Happy Thanksgiving!
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