Miami Dolphins 2012 Fantasy Team Oulook
The Miami Dolphins are starting over in 2012. They have a new coaching staff, they traded Brandon Marshall, and depending on how things shake out, they could have a new quarterback under center.
One thing is for certain: no one knows how to value any of their players in fantasy football. And when that’s the case, generally you just stay away from those kinds of players, altogether.
Here’s my attempt and trying to assign value to some guys in Miami who could be worth the risk in 2012, while assessing the others that simply shouldn’t even be mentioned in fantasy circles:
QB Matt Moore
Moore was actually a pretty decent quarterback with the Dolphins last year. The problem is, few people see him as a long-term answer, and the expected long-term answer is now on the roster (Ryan Tannehill). Ultimately, I don’t see Moore rocking the league, nor do I expect him to last the year as the starter.
QB David Garrard
Garrard is 34 and sporting a bad back. That’s not exactly the best combination to roll into an intense three-way quarterback competition with. Still, Garrard is a seasoned veteran who could arguably be an upgrade on Moore. If he wins and can stay healthy, he could be a waiver wire steal.
QB Ryan Tannehill
Tannehill has the size, arm and athleticism to be a star in this league. Unfortunately, he’s much too raw to do it right away, and he probably won’t hit the field until mid-season, if at all in his rookie year. He’s only worth taking a chance on in Dynasty leagues and extremely deep leagues.
RB Reggie Bush
Bush proved he can carry a full load in 2011, as he piled on four straight 100+ yard outings before a knee injury robbed him of the season finale. I know Bush is hard to trust due to his injury history and a seemingly shaky role, but Daniel Thomas’s inability to develop should make you feel better about drafting Bush as a solid RB2 with considerable upside.
RB Daniel Thomas
Thomas has a nice frame and enough versatility to develop into an every down player. Unfortunately, we really haven’t seen much progression out of him yet, and a better talent in Bush is ahead of him. He’ll carry Flex value and is a must-have Bush handcuff.
RB Lamar Miller
Miller is so explosive that Miami will probably try to get him on the field any way they can. He’s till a rookie, though, so he’ll undoubtedly have to earn his stripes. That likely means a fairly limited overall role unless Bush or Thomas go down.
WR Brian Hartline
No one seems to be very high on Hartline, but no one seems to ever consider that he’s never had anything but average quarterbacks throwing him the football, either. He actually has very good size and underrated athleticism. As a number one receiver for the first time in his career, he should at least bring WR3 value and is a quiet sleeper going into 2012.
Ochocinco’s main attribute these days is the hope that he has enough of a chip on his shoulder to get back to being a respectable weapon. His best days are long gone, though, so he’s a risk even as a late-round flier.
WR Davone Bess
Bess just catches balls, no matter where he’s asked to do it. He’s an easy grab in PPR leagues, while he should also hold WR3 value in standard leagues just because he gets open and the ball should get to him enough.
WR Clyde Gates
There was some hype surrounding Gates initially entering the off-season, but I can’t seem him getting past Bess, Ochocinco or Hartline. He’s athletic enough, but he’s still too raw to expect to make much of an impact.
WR Legedu Naanee
Naanee has always had the talent, but he simply hasn’t done enough to warrant much hype. He could find a way to win the third receiver spot this year, but anything more than that is probably unrealistic.
TE Anthony Fasano
Fasano has never topped 40 receptions in a season and isn’t a big play-maker, so something tells me he’s nearing the end in Miami. A new coaching staff is in town, and they’re likely to lean more toward the play-making rookie Egnew. Fasano should retain his starting job for now, but he’s barely a TE2.
TE Michael Egnew
The Dolphins appear to be very high on Egnew, who has excellent size and athleticism. He could quickly take over as the top red-zone target, and eventually be the play-maker the team has missed at the tight end position since the days of Randy McMichael. It may not all happen at once in his rookie season, but he’ll at least start to cut into Fasano’s targets.
K Dan Carpenter
Miami’s offense figures to stall near the red-zone, per usual, making Carpenter a pretty safe kicking option, once again. He continues to provide accuracy and a solid leg, so you could definitely do a lot worse at your K1 spot.
Dolphins Team Defense
Miami’s defense made some quality additions via the draft this year, but they’re still a no-name crew that lost veterans in Jason Taylor and Yeremiah Bell. They’ll be younger and faster, but they’re still a middle of the pack unit that will have to prove their way into your starting lineup in 2012.
Other 2012 Fantasy Team Outlooks:
Kevin Roberts owns and operates NFL Soup and heads the fantasy football division of the site. Roberts also finished 2nd in the Wide Receiver position in Fantasy Pros expert fantasy football rankings in 2010 and 3rd in the Quarterback position in 2011. In addition to running the fantasy football section of the site, Roberts contributes to NFL Soup's NFL Draft coverage and breaking news reporting. Follow Kevin on Twitter @NFLSoupKevin