Does Tim Tebow Have Fantasy Value in 2012?
Tim Tebow and the New York Jets are off to a rocky start. They haven’t scored a touchdown through two preseason games, and haven’t looked very good in doing it, either. As bad as it may look right now (and it looks bad), there still could be hope.
Well, in the fantasy football realm, anyways.
Any way you spin it, Tebow was a fantasy asset last year for the Denver Broncos, and he can be again for the Jets. He was horribly inaccurate at times and by all accounts wasn’t a very good-looking NFL quarterback inside the pocket. But when he was operating his offense, working out of the shotgun and making things happen on the run, he was pretty successful.
Ultimately, win or lose, Tebow got it done for fantasy owners on a pretty consistent basis in 2011. Sometimes we had to wait for that fourth quarter magic, but the end result was usually the same. Here’s a look at his consistency via total fantasy points in standard leagues (25 pass yds = 1pt, 10 rush yds = 1 pt, all TD = 6 pts) as a starter:
Week 7: 22 pts
Week 8: 14 pts
Week 9: 29 pts
Week 10: 18 pts (despite throwing just 8 passes!)
Week 11: 17 pts
Week 12: 19 pts
Week 13: 19 pts
Week 14: 16 pts
Week 15: 27 pts
Week 16: 14 pts
Week 17: -2 pts
Obviously week 17 versus the Chiefs didn’t work out in any way, and that especially burned fantasy owners because it was the playoffs for some. But as you can see, the majority of the time Tebow was a pretty solid fantasy quarterback, with the ability to blow up in a couple games. And if I might add, this was within an offense that restricted him, and with a franchise that never truly backed him or believed in him.
But that’s just my opinion. The facts are there for you in the stats and the games he played. If Tebow is the starting quarterback and he’s free to run his brand of offense, he without a doubt brings decent fantasy value to the table. And if he continues to get better, he’s still got untapped potential and fantasy value.
With that said, he has very little value at the moment heading into drafts. Mark Sanchez is the main reason why, but Tebow’s role in general also plays into it. If Sanchez is the starting quarterback all year long, the Jets will probably still utilize Tebow in goal-line situations or some sort of version of the Wildcat. Unfortunately, we have no clue how often he’ll be used, or even if he’ll be used in every game.
Unless your league allows Tebow to play at more than just the quarterback position, you can’t rely on him as a weekly contributor. End of story. But if you think Sanchez is going to nose dive and it’s only a matter of time before Tebow has a concrete role as the Jets’ starting quarterback, then his value certainly changes. Regardless, you’re taking a chance on Tebow. You know you can’t risk throwing him in as your starting quarterback as long as Sanchez is the starter in New York, and you have no idea when/if his role will ever change for good.
Because of that, Tebow is nothing more than a late-round flier in fantasy football this year.