NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14
If you’re looking to lay down a few bucks or maybe even some big coin on the NFL in week 14, you’ve come to the right place. With all the website problems we’ve had here at NFLSoup, it’s going to be hard to document exactly how I’ve done up to this point in the season, but one thing I’m sure of is that I was over the 55% winning margin you need to consistently hit to make a profit.
After nailing down the Thursday night game (Denver -10, they covered easily) we’re off to a good start in week 14. Now I will try to keep up my winning ways by picking my top 5 games of the week. I usually pick all the games against the spread, and have had great success in doing so, but that is getting harder to nail down the further the season goes on. So I’m going to try something new for this week and just give out my top 5 plays and see how that works out. If I hit three out of five, that’s a profit, however I’d like to shoot for a 4-1 mark or even 5-0.
Without further adieu here are my Top 5 Week 14 NFL Picks Against the Spread, Lines via betus.com.pa with additional information coming from bangthebook.com, home teams in ALL CAPS:
Baltimore + 2 1/2 over WASHINGTON
Typical overreaction by the public after a good showing on Monday Night Football. The Redskins looked great against the New York Giants on Monday at home, and they might deserve a bit of respect, but they’re defense is still pretty bad. This game opened as a pick’em, but since then has moved 2 1/2 points in Washington’s direction.
I think all the value is on the Ravens and I expect them to win outright. As much as it pains me to say this I’ll trust Joe Flacco this week, Ravens win 30-28.
INDIANAPOLIS -5 over Tennessee
I’m going against everything I’ve read and listened to this week. I’ve heard from some of the top handicappers in Las Vegas who are all on Tennessee this week and I couldn’t disagree more. They may have more time spent in sports betting and frankly more years in the sport, but I’d put my numbers/research up against anybody in the business. And we’re about to find out this week if that has paid off.
Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are just a different team at home. They’re are an impressive 5-1 ATS at home, while also being 3-1 ATS as favorites this year. I’ll take Luck at home all day everyday. Colts win, 27-20.
BUFFALO -3 over St. Louis
If you were to blindly bet $100 on the Rams this year against the spread on every game, you’d be $327 richer. Not a bad chunk of change for a team that was just 2-14 ATS last season.
The recent turn around for the Buffalo Bills has to due with their defense. They’ve allowed just over 17 points per game in their last three games, while in their previous nine games before that they were allowing over 37 PPG.
St. Louis has a hard enough time scoring, so with the recent play of Buffalo’s defense, I think the Bills are going to run through the Rams. Give me the Buffalo, 34-10.
Dallas +3 1/2 over CINCINNATI
Bet against the Cowboys as favorites and bet with them as underdogs.
Everybody is jumping on the Bengals bandwagon and I can’t blame them, as I was riding shotgun before the season started. They’ve won four straight, however three of those wins were against Kansas City, Oakland, and San Diego, not murders row by any stretch.
I think Cincy wins, but I’ll take the 3 1/2 points, 24-23.
Arizona +10 over SEATTLE
Seattle losing Brandon Browner (suspension) in their defensive backfield is a big deal, as he’s one of the best corner backs in the game.
Arizona will turn back to John Skelton after the Ryan Lindley project was a complete disaster. I thought head coach Ken Wisenhunt had a quick hook and Skelton, so turning back to him now just makes him look bad, but it’s not like he had any other choice.
The Cardinals are not ten points worse then the Seahawks. I’ll take Seattle to win, but give me the 10 points, 23-14.