Fantasy Stock Watch: The Impact of Randy Moss to Minnesota
In the words of our old friend, The Double Rainbow guy, “What does it mean??”
In case you live under a rock, Moss and a seventh-round pick have been shipped to Minnesota in exchange for a third-round pick in 2011.
Here's hoping Randy Moss brings back the 'fro.
Obviously, a move this huge will have fantasy implications for both sides involved.
Let’s start with the Vikings.
Brett Favre, QB
Nobody benefits more from this trade than the old, wily, graybearded gunslinger himself.
Without Sidney Rice in action, Favre has enjoyed no vertical passing game whatsoever through the first three.
He’s completed 61 percent of his passes, but has thrown just two touchdowns to go with six interceptions.
To put that into perspective, Favre threw just seven interceptions all of last season.
With Moss now in the fold, Minnesota will now be able to open up the field and air it out the way they did so successfully last season.
Favre was a fantasy stud last season, and should start looking more like that guy with Moss catching passes from him.
Just imagine how he’ll be once Rice returns, as well.
Fantasy stock: Up
Adrian Peterson, RB
Peterson has had to carry the Vikings’ offense essentially by himself so far, and has racked up 392 yards on 70 carries through three games with three touchdowns.
With Minnesota’s ineffectiveness through the air, it was easier for defenses to key in on Peterson as the lone method by which the Vikings would be able to succeed on offense.
Opening up the vertical passing attack should allow Peterson even more room to thrive in the backfield.
He was already great without Moss, and the presence of the All-Pro receiver shouldn’t hinder Peterson’s production, either.
Fantasy stock: No change
Randy Moss, WR
Moss, who had fallen out of favor a bit in the New England offense, should be playing with plenty of incentive to insert himself as the focal point of the Minnesota attack.
While he’s 33, he’s still a top-flight receiver in the league when motivated, and there should be plenty for him here.
He could also benefit from what should be a rejuvenated Brett Favre
Fantasy stock: Up
Percy Harvin, WR
On the season, Harvin has 12 catches for 106 yards with a touchdown.
With Moss on the field, Harvin should be able to assume his more natural role as a speedy slot receiver.
He thrived there last year with Sidney Rice in the lineup, and should be more dangerous with Moss taking more attention away from him.
We’ve seen big plays from him before, and he should have more open room with which to work.
Fantasy stock: Up
Bernard Berrian, WR
Berrian has been highly useless thus far, having caught just five passes for 38 yards without reaching the end zone.
Moss will diminish Berrian’s role even more, if possible.
Fantasy stock: In the toilet
Visanthe Shiancoe, TE
Shiancoe has been the Vikings’ biggest playmaker in the passing game this season, with 11 catches for 169 yards and a touchdown.
He left week three’s win over the Lions with a hamstring injury, and his status is uncertain for Monday night’s showdown with the Jets.
Moss’ presence should diminish the need for Shiancoe to be the big-play guy, but Favre has shown too often that he likes going to Shiancoe…a lot.
He should be just as productive as he was last season, assuming he can get completely healthy.
Fantasy stock: Slightly down
Now, we move on to the Patriots.
Tom Brady, QB
The Pats scored 41 points in the win over the Dolphins, but Brady had completed his last pass to Moss in week three’s win over the Bills.
Any way you spin it, losing a guy like Randy Moss is going to hurt any quarterback’s numbers, even the almighty Brady.
He’s still a weekly starter (unless he shows otherwise at some point), but losing the big guy up top makes this offense much more ordinary.
Fantasy stock: Down
BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB
As long as The Law Firm is the guy, his stock will be on the rise.
He’s turned in two straight decent performances, and it helps that he was able to find the end zone in each game.
The departure of Moss makes it seem more likely that the Patriots will try to get something going on the ground.
Fantasy stock: Up
Danny Woodhead, RB
At this point, despite having scored in two consecutive games, Woodhead has limited fantasy value.
However, he could see a bit of an increased role in terms of the passing game, and he’s shown that he can be elusive with the ball in his hands.
He might be of more interest to those of you in deeper leagues.
Fantasy stock: Up, but not way up
Wes Welker, WR
Welker was already putting up big-time numbers with Moss there, and could see his role increase as he now seems to be the true No. 1 guy.
The downside here is that defenses may start gearing their attack more towards stopping Welker, especially until Green-Ellis (or whoever ends up permanently in that role) shows that he can make defenses pay.
Brady has never had a problem getting the ball to Welker in the past, and, until I see it happen, I’m not sure it can be prevented.
Fantasy stock: Up
Brandon Tate, WR
Tate was already involved a bit in the offense, but most of his contributions had come on special teams, where he’s already returned two kickoffs for scores in 2010.
He has 11 catches for 135 yards this season.
Now, he’s likely Tom Brady’s primary deep threat.
Welker and Aaron Hernandez are likely the top two options, but with the way the Patriots spread the wealth, expect Tate to still get plenty of looks.
Fantasy stock: Way up
Aaron Hernandez, TE
Hernandez is one of the biggest benefactors of this trade in terms of fantasy, as he now likely becomes the No. 2 receiving option behind Welker.
He already has 18 catches for 240 yards this season, and should be seeing even more looks without Moss.
He still hasn’t scored a touchdown, but with his potential, that can’t be too far off.
Fantasy stock: Up
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